Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.089395 1.399193e-01 0.200170 0.274794 0.362568 0.460713 0.577071
2026-02-08 0.019927 6.541191e-02 0.137406 0.242927 0.382105 0.550894 0.763777
2026-02-15 0.003127 3.666576e-02 0.110179 0.233412 0.408565 0.631100 0.921008
2026-02-22 0.000007 2.258188e-02 0.097471 0.238606 0.450716 0.728946 1.099120
2026-03-01 NaN 1.184551e-02 0.082930 0.235732 0.478193 0.805586 1.249226
2026-03-08 NaN 3.896945e-03 0.064762 0.221194 0.485378 0.853319 1.361386
2026-03-15 NaN 2.677925e-03 0.067085 0.243681 0.547909 0.975621 1.569518
2026-03-22 NaN 1.820777e-03 0.069689 0.266488 0.611058 1.099135 1.779837
2026-03-29 NaN 7.516806e-04 0.067664 0.279139 0.658140 1.200674 1.961961
2026-04-05 NaN 6.610919e-04 0.073943 0.309571 0.733739 1.342132 2.196804
2026-04-12 NaN 2.936055e-04 0.075176 0.328904 0.791695 1.459333 2.400339
2026-04-19 NaN 1.582396e-07 0.069051 0.330913 0.821324 1.536900 2.551980
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.052181 0.305532 0.806710 1.554645 2.628935
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.035084 0.272485 0.776152 1.548253 2.673352
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.027584 0.262151 0.782844 1.594168 2.786543
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.025350 0.267734 0.817857 1.681677 2.956259
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.021123 0.264660 0.836489 1.744743 3.092728
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.014686 0.249157 0.830592 1.770508 3.177824
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.017232 0.273129 0.900341 1.910537 3.420323
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.019875 0.297380 0.970698 2.051651 3.664590
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.020083 0.310808 1.020425 2.161829 3.866590
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.024558 0.343047 1.106266 2.326647 4.143987
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.026333 0.363486 1.169664 2.457819 4.375400